L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 50.73%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -5.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%50.66%50.94%52.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.20%54.95%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.10%4.33cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +0.676%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%23.14%22.96%24.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.954.004.4628.57%25.30%25.00%22.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.20%26.11%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7233.33%28.73%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.71%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV +3.02%E +0.676%K +0.872%G +0.026%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.706%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.43%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99%EV +0.475%E +0.109%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 20:49
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.78%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV +0.013%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.10%EV -3.93%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 20:55
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 20:45
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -12.75%E -7.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 20:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.14%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 20:50
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.14%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 20:49
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 20:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 20:54
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 20:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 20:54
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 20:44
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 20:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.14%E -2.75%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 20:34
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 20:55
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:20
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.23%E -6.42%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 20:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 20:45
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.51%EV -9.71%E -5.45%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 20:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 20:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 20:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.23%E -6.42%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-02 20:54
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 20:50
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -4.63%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 20:49
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 20:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 20:55
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 20:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 20:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -10.21%E -5.77%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 20:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-02 20:34
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -9.71%E -5.45%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -18.00%E -5.07%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.24%E -7.08%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -19.16%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -21.47%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-02 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-02 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-04-02 20:55
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-02 20:55