La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad Católica (CHI) v Palestino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Predicción 50.73%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.29%50.66%50.94%52.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.20%54.95%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Palestino (Visitante)
Predicción 23.10%4.33momio equitativo
EV +3.02%
Ventaja +0.676%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%23.14%22.96%24.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.954.004.4628.57%25.30%25.00%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.20%26.11%27.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7233.33%28.73%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.71%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV +3.02%E +0.676%K +0.872%G +0.026% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.706%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.43%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99%EV +0.475%E +0.109%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 20:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.78%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV +0.013%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.10%EV -3.93%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -12.75%E -7.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.14%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.14%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 20:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 20:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 20:44 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.14%E -2.75%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.23%E -6.42%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 20:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.51%EV -9.71%E -5.45%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.23%E -6.42%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -4.63%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 20:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -10.21%E -5.77%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-02 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -9.71%E -5.45%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -18.00%E -5.07%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-02 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.24%E -7.08%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -19.16%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -21.47%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-02 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 20:55 |