Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) v O'Higgins

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 00:45 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 3–2 O'Higgins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 51.89%1.93fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%52.04%51.85%54.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.761.8559.88%56.59%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 22.57%4.43fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.79%22.50%22.55%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.004.5326.67%24.36%25.00%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.54%3.92fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%25.45%25.60%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8029.41%27.96%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 51.89%; O'Higgins (Visit): 22.57%; Draw: 25.54%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.21%EV +2.26%E +0.499%K +0.641%G +0.014%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV -3.46%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +1.58%E +0.352%K +0.453%G +0.007%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:44
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +1.58%E +0.352%K +0.453%G +0.007%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:44
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.10%EV -6.09%E -3.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV +1.36%E +0.303%K +0.389%G +0.005%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.72%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 00:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -11.79%E -6.94%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -0.673%E -0.153%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 00:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -11.79%E -6.94%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -0.673%E -0.153%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -1.80%E -0.414%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.25%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 00:44
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.25%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 00:44
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.95%EV -5.57%E -3.06%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.94%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -7.55%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -8.16%E -4.61%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -2.93%E -0.681%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:39
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.16%E -4.61%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -2.93%E -0.681%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 00:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -4.06%E -0.955%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:40
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.72%E -5.59%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 00:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.35%E -7.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 00:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.63%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -3.46%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 00:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%EV -7.12%E -3.98%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 00:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -9.72%E -5.59%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 00:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:40
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.70%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.51%EV -10.76%E -6.25%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -10.83%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.51%EV -10.76%E -6.25%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -10.83%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -8.16%E -4.61%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.36%EV -11.27%E -6.59%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-01 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.72%E -5.59%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 00:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.60%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-01 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-09-01 00:40
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-09-01 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-01 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-09-01 00:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-09-01 00:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-01 00:35