Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Colo Colo

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 22:02 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 1–2 Colo Colo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 41.63%2.40fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.67%41.33%41.89%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.232.202.4850.00%44.87%45.45%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colo Colo (Visit)

Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.585%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%30.54%30.10%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2636.36%33.67%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.13%28.01%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4334.72%30.84%30.77%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 41.63%; Colo Colo (Visit): 30.27%; Draw: 28.10%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV +3.25%E +1.31%K +2.20%G +0.072%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -14.64%E -5.19%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 22:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.68%EV -8.28%E -2.73%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 21:56
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:59
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -0.909%E -0.382%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:54
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.77%EV -1.74%E -0.738%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.71%EV -10.40%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.53%EV -7.57%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 21:59
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.16%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:57
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -16.76%E -6.09%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.76%E -6.09%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 21:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.70%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 21:59
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -1.32%E -0.405%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.73%E -4.82%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -15.25%E -5.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.15%E -3.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.56%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -9.53%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 22:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.14%E -0.980%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.14%E -0.980%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.16%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.68%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 22:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:59
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:59
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.82%E -4.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -8.82%E -4.03%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -7.68%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 22:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.16%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.16%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 22:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.68%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.70%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 21:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.22%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 22:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.22%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.22%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.22%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.57%E -5.98%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.57%E -5.98%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.19%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.57%E -5.98%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -13.73%E -4.82%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.65%E -7.15%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.22%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.73%E -8.37%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -10.70%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -16.73%E -8.37%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -16.76%E -6.09%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -19.08%E -6.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%2.4%2026-05-24 22:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%10.0%2026-05-24 22:00