The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Audax Italiano

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 23:29 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 1–1 Audax Italiano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 56.98%1.76fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.25%56.96%56.96%58.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.611.621.6868.49%62.12%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 18.99%5.27fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%19.01%19.04%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.824.805.3523.26%20.76%20.83%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.907%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.03%24.00%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.813.804.0128.57%26.27%26.32%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 56.98%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 18.99%; Draw: 24.03%. For Audax Italiano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.96%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV +1.60%E +0.299%K +0.368%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV -3.88%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 18:39
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.20%EV -7.13%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.14%EV -0.678%E -0.130%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.66%EV -3.64%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -2.01%E -0.389%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.34%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 23:10
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -2.01%E -0.389%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.34%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 23:05
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.40%E -5.91%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.99%EV -7.72%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 06:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.48%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -13.39%E -8.81%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-28 23:25
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.81%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.63%EV -7.32%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 23:20
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.89%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 23:06
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -3.88%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 20:44
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.56%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-28 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.31%EV -9.97%E -6.31%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -11.11%E -7.12%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 22:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.46%EV -12.25%E -7.96%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-28 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.46%EV -12.25%E -7.96%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-28 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-28 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.68%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-28 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.54%E -6.72%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 20:44
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 20:44
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 20:44
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 57.05%EV -16.81%E -11.51%K -36.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.15%EV -17.39%E -4.00%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-28 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.54%E -6.72%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.77%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -9.88%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-28 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.04%EV -11.11%E -7.12%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -18.34%E -4.26%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.63%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-28 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-10-28 23:00
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-10-28 23:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%4.1%2026-10-28 23:15