The School of Odds
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Union La Calera v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 18:00 UTC

Final: Union La Calera 3–1 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union La Calera (Local)

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.529%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.63%26.59%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)

Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.74%46.73%48.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.961.952.0556.18%51.06%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.63%26.67%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.433.453.6931.75%29.20%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 26.64%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 46.68%; Draw: 26.68%. For Union La Calera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -1.43%E -0.386%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 16:35
GTbets🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.54%EV -1.69%E -0.459%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.84%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.62%EV -5.55%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 00:09
Pinnacle🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.12%EV -1.96%E -0.533%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -6.18%E -3.07%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 17:40
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 09:20
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:05
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 17:33
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 17:33
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -13.65%E -7.38%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 17:35
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 17:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 17:35
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 17:35
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.22%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 17:49
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 18:00
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -9.45%E -4.87%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:54
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 17:38
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -7.82%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.91%EV -8.75%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.09%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.09%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:09
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.09%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.09%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:10
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.09%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 09:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 18:15
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 17:49
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 17:00
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 18:09
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-23 15:50
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 09:20
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 09:19
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.75%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 09:15
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 18:15
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -9.45%E -4.87%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 09:15
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.90%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.90%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 09:15
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -12.71%E -6.80%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -17.41%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 46.74%EV -16.91%E -9.50%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-25 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-10-25 17:49
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%10.9%2026-10-25 09:15