Language:English
Union La Calera v Everton de Viña del Mar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 33.50%2.98fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.62%33.72%33.40%37.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.752.9041.67%37.03%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)
Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.699%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.95%37.43%37.86%38.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.452.7043.48%40.37%40.82%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%28.85%28.74%30.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.4133.33%31.57%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 33.50%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 37.74%; Draw: 28.76%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -16.92%E -6.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -16.92%E -6.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -16.92%E -6.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -16.92%E -6.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -16.92%E -6.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -17.92%E -7.31%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +1.89%E +0.699%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.18%EV -8.54%E -3.13%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV +0.756%E +0.283%K +0.453%G +0.003% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -4.22%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -10.55%E -3.95%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -18.59%E -7.65%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -19.60%E -8.16%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.54%E -3.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.77%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.82%EV -4.53%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.30%EV -8.54%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.24%EV -2.84%E -0.981%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.41%EV -5.28%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.24%EV -2.84%E -0.981%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.41%EV -5.28%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.24%EV -2.84%E -0.981%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.41%EV -5.28%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.42%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -1.92%E -0.564%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.66%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.54%E -3.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.22%E -4.23%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.66%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.98%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.98%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.22%E -4.23%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.30%E -3.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.22%E -4.23%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -12.22%E -4.67%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.54%E -3.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.54%E -3.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -16.25%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.19%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.19%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.56%E -4.46%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.56%E -4.46%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.54%E -3.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.22%E -4.23%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.