The School of Odds

Union La Calera v Everton de Viña del Mar

2026-07-27 23:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

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Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Prediction 38.48%2.60fair odd
EV +0.042%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%37.95%38.66%38.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.382.6045%41%42%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.51%31.80%30.82%35.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.753.0439%36%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%30.25%30.51%30.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.053.1535%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.34%E -6.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 01:35
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.34%E -6.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.34%E -6.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.34%E -6.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 01:39
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.34%E -6.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 01:45
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -19.27%E -7.41%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 01:35
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -1.88%E -0.738%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -20.82%E -8.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 01:39
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -1.88%E -0.738%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -20.82%E -8.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 01:39
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 06:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 06:40
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 06:44
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 06:44
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-23 06:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 06:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 06:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 06:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-23 06:48
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -13.43%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-23 06:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.90%EV -17.72%E -6.69%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.67%EV -13.15%E -4.62%K -7.11%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-23 06:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-07-23 06:54