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Union La Calera v Everton de Viña del Mar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 38.99%2.57fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.851%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%38.73%39.10%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.372.6045.45%41.92%42.28%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)
Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.25%31.19%30.95%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.903.1539.22%34.83%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.61%30.08%29.95%32.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.57%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 38.99%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 30.97%; Draw: 30.04%. For Union La Calera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.54%E -7.05%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-20 02:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.54%E -7.05%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-20 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.54%E -7.05%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-20 03:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.54%E -7.05%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-20 03:09 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -18.54%E -7.05%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-20 03:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV +1.36%E +0.524%K +0.851%G +0.012% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -19.47%E -7.49%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 06:25 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -0.198%E -0.077%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.87%EV -6.77%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV -5.98%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -0.587%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -21.01%E -8.24%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-20 03:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -0.587%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -21.01%E -8.24%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-20 03:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -2.93%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -2.74%E -0.872%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -5.98%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 10:05 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.95%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.13%EV -4.47%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-24 00:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.43%E -0.771%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.37%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -5.22%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.68%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -17.39%E -6.32%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 05:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 10:43 |
| betano_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 10:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.37%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 02:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -8.68%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.38%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.38%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.38%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 18:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.38%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 03:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 08:29 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.72%E -4.11%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 18:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 18:23 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 09:09 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.38%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.82%E -5.39%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -14.23%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -17.92%E -6.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 2.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.83% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.83% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 09:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.83% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 09:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 05:35 |