The School of Odds

Union La Calera v Everton de Viña del Mar

2026-07-24 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Prediction 34.22%2.92fair odd
EV -6.92%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.37%34.22%34.22%34.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.7242%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%36.69%36.81%37.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5244%41%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -7.31%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%29.09%28.97%29.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.103.103.2033%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.07%EV -6.92%E -2.54%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.89%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:05
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.07%EV -6.92%E -2.54%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.89%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:10
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 06:34
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 06:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-13 06:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-13 06:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-13 06:34
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-13 06:34
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-13 06:34
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.33%E -6.67%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-13 06:35
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.45%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-13 06:34
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -17.87%E -7.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -17.17%E -7.63%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-13 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:09