La scuola delle quote

Palestino v Deportes Concepción

Inizio: 2026-04-24 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palestino (Casa)

Previsione 54.39%1.84quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -4.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.33%54.38%54.35%56.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.19%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportes Concepción (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.43%5.15quota equa
EV -0.926%
Vantaggio -0.181%
Kelly -0.226%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.39%19.48%19.35%20.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.644.605.1023.81%21.54%21.74%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.18%3.82quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.411%
Kelly -0.561%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.10%26.14%26.31%28.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.473.503.7634.72%28.82%28.57%26.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.42%EV -4.03%E -0.817%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.36%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:54
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.37%EV -3.84%E -0.776%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV -1.55%E -0.411%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 23:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 23:34
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 23:43
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:44
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:44
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:45
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.926%E -0.181%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.926%E -0.181%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.54%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -5.78%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.83%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:54
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:44
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 23:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 23:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 23:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.63%E -5.13%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 23:24
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.63%E -5.13%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 23:45
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 23:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 23:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 23:34
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 23:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 23:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 23:44
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.25%EV -9.71%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -18.41%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.12%EV -11.89%E -7.34%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -3.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.33%EV -11.89%E -7.34%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.80%EV -18.41%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.87%EV -24.59%E -8.54%K -13.08%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-23 23:44
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -12.98%E -8.11%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 23:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-04-23 23:40