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Palestino v Colo Colo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.724%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%22.77%22.81%24.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.4927.78%25.11%25.00%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colo Colo (Visit)
Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.70%52.92%52.73%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.741.741.8563.69%57.45%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.31%24.46%25.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.743.753.9228.99%26.72%26.67%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 22.83%; Colo Colo (Visit): 52.80%; Draw: 24.37%. For Palestino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.36%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.46%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV +0.472%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -15.52%E -9.70%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -9.72%E -5.68%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -6.92%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -9.72%E -5.68%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.60%EV -3.87%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.82%EV -10.77%E -6.37%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 20:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 20:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65%EV -7.52%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.78%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -7.52%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.09%EV -6.92%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-25 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -11.83%E -7.08%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.83%E -7.08%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-25 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -9.80%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-25 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.37%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.37%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-25 20:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -16.65%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.36%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -16.65%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -16.65%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 22.82%EV -16.65%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.04%EV -17.11%E -10.90%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -15.93%E -4.62%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-10-25 20:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -17.80%E -4.94%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-25 20:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -17.80%E -4.94%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.83%E -7.08%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-25 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 2.6% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |