Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins v Deportes Limache

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%46.28%45.97%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.972.002.0855.56%50.69%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV +4.27%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.41%27.50%27.83%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.273.7533.33%30.06%30.53%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%26.22%26.21%27.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.523.6230.30%28.62%28.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: O'Higgins (Local): 45.99%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 27.81%; Draw: 26.20%. For Deportes Limache (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +4.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.94%E -4.51%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV +4.27%E +1.14%K +1.55%G +0.066%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 02:09
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.95%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.67%EV +2.33%E +0.633%K +0.869%G +0.020%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.38%EV -6.20%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.62%E -6.64%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV +0.104%E +0.029%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 22:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -12.16%E -6.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -1.29%E -0.362%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 23:00
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 45.98%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 20:20
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 22:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.10%E -3.51%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -6.01%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:45
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.37%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -16.30%E -8.95%K -19.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 22:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.01%EV -17.22%E -9.56%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.80%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-02 22:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 01:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 01:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 19:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 20:15
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 20:14
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.02%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:39
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.02%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:39
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 19:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 19:40
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -16.58%E -5.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-02 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%16.3%2026-08-02 22:20