Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 19:00 UTC

Final: O'Higgins 1–3 Deportes Limache

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.64%47.32%47.24%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0654.64%51.17%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.501%
Kelly +0.680%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.77%26.94%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.8032.26%29.30%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.91%25.83%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.523.7530.30%28.35%28.37%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 47.29%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 26.82%; Draw: 25.89%. For Deportes Limache (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV +1.90%E +0.501%K +0.680%G +0.013%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.562%E +0.150%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -1.58%E -0.431%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -2.90%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.67%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.46%E -7.36%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 18:15
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.53%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.70%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.77%EV -7.30%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.24%EV -9.20%E -4.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -5.61%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -5.75%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:50
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:54
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -9.20%E -4.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 18:24
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.67%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.90%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.57%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.57%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -9.20%E -4.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -11.57%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.26%E -3.96%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:04
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 18:30
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 18:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.55%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.55%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.55%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.57%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.87%E -5.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-09 18:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-08-09 18:55

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