Language:English
La Serena v Universidad de Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.24%37.54%37.43%38.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.402.6145.45%41.31%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.54%33.40%33.46%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.9040.00%36.44%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.61%29.06%29.11%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.123.103.4037.04%32.08%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 37.46%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 33.48%; Draw: 29.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.93%EV -2.22%E -0.851%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.23%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.84%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 03:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -2.59%E -0.998%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -8.17%E -2.59%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -2.59%E -0.998%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -8.17%E -2.59%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.20%E -0.352%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 12:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.98%EV -2.07%E -0.613%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.33%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 03:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.33%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 03:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.51%EV -8.59%E -3.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-20 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.80%EV -13.08%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.47%EV -10.49%E -3.41%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-20 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-20 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -21.54%E -7.98%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.58%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.65%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.77%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-02-20 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.25% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 03:25 |