Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
La Serena v Deportes Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.43%40.49%40.31%42.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.262.252.3950.25%44.25%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 31.76%3.15fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%31.61%31.82%32.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.0737.04%34.49%34.48%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.90%27.87%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.253.253.4032.79%30.80%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 40.38%; Deportes Concepción (Visit): 31.76%; Draw: 27.85%. For Deportes Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.07, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.30%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.37%EV -2.48%E -0.808%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 05:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-23 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-24 05:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-24 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-24 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.04%EV -7.53%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.17%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 05:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.66%EV -7.56%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-24 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 03:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 03:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 04:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-24 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 04:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 04:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 04:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.66%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-22 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.66%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-22 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.66%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-22 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-24 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 15:17 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.75%EV -10.35%E -4.66%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -11.97%E -5.49%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -13.66%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.18%E -6.13%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.05%E -4.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.18%E -6.13%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.05%E -4.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-19 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.18%E -6.13%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-24 03:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-23 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 42.03%EV -19.64%E -9.87%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -13.66%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-10-24 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-10-24 14:00 |