Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v O'Higgins

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 20:31 UTC

Final: Huachipato 2–0 O'Higgins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.32%36.28%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.502.6641.67%39.59%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 36.94%2.71fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.58%37.04%36.95%39.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.6544.44%40.59%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.562%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%26.65%26.77%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.6831.75%29.27%29.41%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 36.29%; O'Higgins (Visit): 36.94%; Draw: 26.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.68, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.09%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.94%EV -9.12%E -3.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.86%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -2.10%E -0.792%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -4.99%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.99%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:05
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:19
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:19
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:05
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -8.38%E -3.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:05
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 20:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -15.03%E -6.53%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.18%E -5.61%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.58%EV -2.47%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.58%EV -2.47%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:05
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.58%EV -2.47%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.58%EV -2.47%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:24
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.02%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.02%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.02%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.02%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.91%EV -13.92%E -5.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.91%EV -13.92%E -5.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.09%E -4.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 20:15
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.09%E -4.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 20:25
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.09%E -4.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.09%E -4.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.09%E -4.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -11.33%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 20:15
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -15.03%E -6.53%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-10 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.71%EV -16.88%E -7.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -15.69%E -4.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-10 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-10-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-10-10 20:25
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-10-10 20:25
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.76%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-10-10 20:25