The School of Odds
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Huachipato v La Serena

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 15:02 UTC

Final: Huachipato 0–0 La Serena

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%35.21%34.87%38.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.592.602.8243.48%38.58%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

La Serena (Visit)

Prediction 38.48%2.60fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.458%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%38.29%38.52%39.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.382.6347.62%41.58%42.02%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.228%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.50%26.61%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.423.7431.25%29.18%29.20%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 34.95%; La Serena (Visit): 38.48%; Draw: 26.57%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -13.33%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV +1.20%E +0.458%K +0.739%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -13.33%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV +1.20%E +0.458%K +0.739%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -13.33%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV +1.20%E +0.458%K +0.739%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -13.33%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV +1.20%E +0.458%K +0.739%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -13.33%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV +1.20%E +0.458%K +0.739%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -9.48%E -3.66%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.61%EV -0.626%E -0.167%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 14:55
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -16.82%E -7.07%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -3.80%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -17.87%E -7.60%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -17.87%E -7.60%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -9.83%E -3.81%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.26%EV -4.95%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.23%EV -1.44%E -0.512%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.40%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.37%EV -2.75%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-01 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.89%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 14:44
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -17.87%E -7.60%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -5.72%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.94%EV -7.26%E -3.01%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 14:45
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 14:55
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 14:54
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -2.84%E -1.02%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -2.84%E -1.02%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -2.84%E -1.02%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -2.84%E -1.02%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 14:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -19.62%E -8.53%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-01 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.80%E -3.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 14:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.80%E -3.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.89%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 14:55
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -4.94%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.88%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.88%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:55
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.88%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.88%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 14:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:53
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:53
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -8.08%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -13.42%E -5.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -14.38%E -5.87%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.42%E -5.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.6%2026-11-01 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -14.38%E -5.87%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -19.19%E -9.14%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -14.97%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-01 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-11-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-11-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-11-01 14:55
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-11-01 14:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-11-01 14:55
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-11-01 14:55

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