Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 21:30 UTC

Final: Huachipato 1–3 Deportes Limache

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.01%39.17%39.13%42.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.302.5246.51%42.87%43.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 34.96%2.86fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%34.86%34.99%36.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.7841.67%37.91%37.74%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.97%25.89%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.493.503.8129.85%28.63%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 39.06%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 34.96%; Draw: 25.97%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.81, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.13%EV -1.57%E -0.621%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.81%EV -3.50%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 21:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.07%EV -1.57%E -0.621%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -2.80%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 21:19
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.28%EV -1.04%E -0.273%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:15
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.43%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.11%EV -6.99%E -2.63%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.20%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 21:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.20%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 21:24
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.20%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 21:24
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 21:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.78%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 21:15
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.03%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 21:23
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.03%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 21:23
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.03%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.03%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.13%EV -7.69%E -2.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 21:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -4.90%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 21:15
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -4.90%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 21:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 21:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 21:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 21:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.94%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 11:04
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.94%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 11:04
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.94%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.94%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 11:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.94%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-19 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 21:19
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -16.08%E -6.70%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-22 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -12.89%E -5.78%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -8.04%E -3.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -12.89%E -5.78%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -8.04%E -3.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -16.02%E -7.45%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.06%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-08-22 21:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%2.0%2026-08-22 21:25