The School of Odds
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Huachipato v Deportes Concepción

2026-11-22 15:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 36.82%2.72fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.24%36.78%36.92%38.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.452.5746.51%40.80%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.98%34.64%34.66%35.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.7441.67%38.21%38.17%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.58%28.42%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.203.3633.33%31.74%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Huachipato (Local): 36.82%; Deportes Concepción (Visit): 34.72%; Draw: 28.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.36, with an expected value of -4.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.00%EV -5.38%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 12:44
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-09 12:05
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-09 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.97%EV -8.33%E -3.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 12:15
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-09 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-09 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-09 12:05
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.72%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-09 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.28%EV -20.85%E -9.70%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.43%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%21.5%2026-11-09 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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