Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar v Universidad de Concepción

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 23:29 UTC

Final: Everton de Viña del Mar 3–1 Universidad de Concepción

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prediction 50.65%1.97fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.86%50.69%50.73%54.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.801.831.8860.98%55.64%54.79%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV +6.98%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.135%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%23.14%23.25%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.023.984.6027.78%24.86%25.16%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.17%26.03%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.72%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton de Viña del Mar (Local): 50.65%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 23.26%; Draw: 26.09%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -14.91%E -8.87%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV +6.98%E +1.52%K +1.94%G +0.135%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -14.91%E -8.87%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV +6.98%E +1.52%K +1.94%G +0.135%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -14.91%E -8.87%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV +6.98%E +1.52%K +1.94%G +0.135%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -14.91%E -8.87%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV +6.98%E +1.52%K +1.94%G +0.135%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -14.91%E -8.87%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV +6.98%E +1.52%K +1.94%G +0.135%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 22:55
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.67%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.82%G +0.118%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.28%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -15.92%E -9.59%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV +4.65%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -16.93%E -10.32%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV +4.65%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.062%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -16.93%E -10.32%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV +4.65%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.062%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.22%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV -1.16%E -0.274%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 23:24
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.51%EV -6.80%E -3.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.67%EV -2.79%E -0.668%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.82%EV -4.24%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 14:53
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.49%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.15%E -0.574%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 23:24
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 23:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 23:24
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 16:43
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 23:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 23:23
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-24 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 16:04
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 23:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.07%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 20:33
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:44
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 23:24
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 23:14
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -13.95%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:14
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.0%2026-08-24 23:24
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-24 23:19
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.6%2026-08-24 23:24