L’École des cotes

Everton de Viña del Mar v Ñublense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prévision 35.06%2.85cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.650%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.39%35.06%35.02%36.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.71%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ñublense (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.92%2.86cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.670%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.42%34.93%35.02%37.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.622.622.8142.55%38.16%38.17%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.846%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.01%29.96%31.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.043.053.2438.02%32.95%32.79%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.82%E -0.650%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.23%E -0.797%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.82%E -0.650%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.23%E -0.797%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -2.87%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -1.88%E -0.670%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.90%EV -6.34%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.92%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.92%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.39%EV -4.97%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.00%EV -4.33%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -2.74%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -7.12%E -2.68%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.36%EV -3.04%E -0.942%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 22:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:59
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 34.87%EV -6.73%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.01%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -10.96%E -4.30%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -8.17%E -3.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -17.94%E -7.64%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 22:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 22:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.52%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.52%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 23:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.45%E -5.90%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 22:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.81%EV -15.84%E -6.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.77%EV -21.05%E -8.00%K -12.92%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.88%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.55%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%1.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00