La escuela de los momios

Everton de Viña del Mar v Ñublense

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Predicción 35.06%2.85momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.39%35.06%35.02%36.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.71%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ñublense (Visitante)

Predicción 34.92%2.86momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.42%34.93%35.02%37.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.622.622.8142.55%38.16%38.17%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.01%29.96%31.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.043.053.2438.02%32.95%32.79%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.82%E -0.650%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.23%E -0.797%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.82%E -0.650%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.23%E -0.797%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.80%EV -2.87%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -1.88%E -0.670%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.90%EV -6.34%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.92%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.92%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.39%EV -4.97%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.00%EV -4.33%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -2.74%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -7.12%E -2.68%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.36%EV -3.04%E -0.942%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 22:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:59
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 34.87%EV -6.73%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.01%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -10.96%E -4.30%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -8.17%E -3.11%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.95%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -17.94%E -7.64%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 22:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 22:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.52%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.52%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 23:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.45%E -5.90%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 22:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.81%EV -15.84%E -6.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.77%EV -21.05%E -8.00%K -12.92%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.88%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.55%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%1.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00