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Everton de Viña del Mar v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)
Prediction 57.25%1.75fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.01%57.37%57.26%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.7166.67%62.36%62.50%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 19.66%5.09fair odd
EV +0.262%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.13%19.60%19.57%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.684.665.1023.81%21.38%21.46%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.47%23.02%23.17%24.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.923.904.2027.40%25.49%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton de Viña del Mar (Local): 57.25%; La Serena (Visit): 19.66%; Draw: 23.09%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.262%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -9.55%E -6.04%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +0.262%E +0.051%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -9.55%E -6.04%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +0.262%E +0.051%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -9.55%E -6.04%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -2.69%E -0.543%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.44%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -14.13%E -9.42%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -3.67%E -0.749%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 18.84%EV -4.85%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.64%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 14:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.64%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 14:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -5.64%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -5.64%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.62%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.62%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.62%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.38%EV -9.01%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 14:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.05%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.57%EV -8.39%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -10.70%E -6.86%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -9.55%E -6.04%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.45%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.45%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -9.57%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.28%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.41%EV -10.55%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.31%EV -11.78%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.53%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.53%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.53%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -11.84%E -7.69%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -11.53%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.50%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.12%E -6.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.66%EV -13.56%E -8.98%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -15.47%E -3.60%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-11 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -17.43%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -17.43%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.89% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.89% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.89% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 15:00 |