Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%43.77%44.13%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.112.102.3554.05%47.50%47.62%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -0.752%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%29.34%28.97%32.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.4134.72%32.19%32.26%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -0.554%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.89%26.90%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.353.333.7034.72%29.87%30.08%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton de Viña del Mar (Local): 44.02%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 29.10%; Draw: 26.88%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV +3.44%E +1.46%K +2.55%G +0.088%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -4.59%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV +1.24%E +0.540%K +0.955%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV +0.361%E +0.158%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -15.60%E -5.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -0.960%E -0.427%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.34%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 14:44
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.84%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.91%EV -5.12%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.24%EV -7.00%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -0.554%E -0.150%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -0.554%E -0.150%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.35%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -1.63%E -0.481%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.20%EV -1.36%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 14:40
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.30%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.17%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.53%EV -2.70%E -0.747%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -2.50%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.24%E -0.900%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -15.60%E -5.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.55%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:48
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:55
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:44
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.96%EV -12.84%E -6.49%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -15.93%E -8.34%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -22.59%E -7.84%K -12.02%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-07 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 44.75%EV -18.57%E -10.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.55%EV -15.60%E -5.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.70%EV -16.68%E -5.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-03-07 14:55