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Deportes Limache v Palestino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Limache (Local)
Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV +0.851%
Edge +0.332%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.81%39.19%39.36%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.332.5647.62%42.81%42.83%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palestino (Visit)
Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -0.839%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.439%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.63%34.10%34.10%35.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.9140.00%37.37%37.04%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.71%26.54%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.453.6932.26%29.01%29.03%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 39.39%; Palestino (Visit): 34.08%; Draw: 26.53%. For Deportes Limache (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.851%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV +0.851%E +0.332%K +0.545%G +0.005% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV +0.851%E +0.332%K +0.545%G +0.005% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV +0.851%E +0.332%K +0.545%G +0.005% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.30%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.46%EV -1.86%E -0.646%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.69%EV -7.68%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -2.30%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -4.66%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -4.66%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -3.17%E -0.868%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -17.76%E -5.73%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:53 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.71%EV -8.60%E -3.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.78%EV -8.74%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.60%E -3.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.64%EV -10.18%E -4.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -0.839%E -0.288%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.73%EV -2.11%E -0.571%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 22:52 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.36%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -12.15%E -5.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -12.15%E -5.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-11 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.33%EV -17.27%E -8.22%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.21%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.46%EV -15.11%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |