Language:English
Deportes Limache v Ñublense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Limache (Local)
Prediction 33.57%2.98fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.63%33.58%36.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.72%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ñublense (Visit)
Prediction 39.49%2.53fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.858%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.26%39.47%39.49%41.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.66%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.90%26.93%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.62%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 33.57%; Ñublense (Visit): 39.49%; Draw: 26.95%. For Deportes Limache (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.981%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -0.981%E -0.333%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -1.99%E -0.681%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.53%EV -3.00%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.94%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -3.66%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.02%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.02%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.02%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.02%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.02%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 00:22 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.21%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.53%EV -8.79%E -3.80%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -8.03%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -6.81%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.72%E -4.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -8.00%E -3.43%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -14.41%E -5.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -1.29%E -0.515%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -16.09%E -6.43%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -16.09%E -6.43%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -1.29%E -0.515%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -16.09%E -6.43%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |