The School of Odds

Deportes Limache v La Serena

2026-11-22 21:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV -7.83%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.14%34.14%34.14%34.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.632.682.702.7038%37%37%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

La Serena (Visit)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV -7.07%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.90%37.93%37.93%37.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.382.432.452.4542%41%41%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -6.43%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.62%27.93%27.93%27.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.333.353.3531%30%30%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:50
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -9.72%E -4.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.