Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción v Palestino

2026-11-02 23:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

38%

33%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd

EV +1.46%

Edge +0.547%

Kelly +0.877%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.59%38.14%38.22%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.442.392.6642.02%40.96%41.84%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palestino (Visit)

Prediction 32.95%3.03fair odd

EV -5.43%

Edge -1.89%

Kelly -2.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.55%32.95%33.11%36.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.512.732.752.8739.84%36.63%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.91%3.46fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -0.942%

Kelly -1.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.29%28.91%28.67%29.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.133.103.3533.33%32.00%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportes Concepción (Local): 38.14%; Palestino (Visit): 32.95%; Draw: 28.91%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.66, producing a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV +1.46%E +0.547%K +0.877%G +0.013%	2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -17.30%E -6.89%K -11.45%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.49%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-25 23:58
Pinnacle🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.02%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -3.16%E -0.942%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-26 00:55
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.49%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-25 23:59
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.27%E -4.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.27%E -4.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-26 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.27%E -4.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-25 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.