The School of Odds
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Deportes Concepción v Everton de Viña del Mar

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 00:00 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 0–2 Everton de Viña del Mar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%35.88%35.69%39.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.502.7243.86%40.11%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 34.27%2.92fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.47%34.09%34.35%36.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.722.9540.00%36.56%36.76%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV +0.109%
Edge +0.033%
Kelly +0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%30.02%29.95%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.073.053.3338.02%32.59%32.79%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 35.66%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 34.27%; Draw: 30.06%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -16.19%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.10%E +0.374%K +0.566%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -16.19%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.10%E +0.374%K +0.566%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -16.19%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.10%E +0.374%K +0.566%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 23:25
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -16.19%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.10%E +0.374%K +0.566%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -16.19%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.10%E +0.374%K +0.566%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.609%E -0.210%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -16.90%E -7.25%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -0.609%E -0.210%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -17.97%E -7.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -1.29%E -0.450%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -18.68%E -8.19%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -2.32%E -0.815%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.40%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 22:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.40%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 22:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 21:56
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -15.12%E -6.35%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.09%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.09%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 23:25
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.42%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.78%E -2.49%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 23:50
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.42%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.78%E -2.49%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.24%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.07%EV -6.78%E -2.49%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.21%E -3.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 23:55
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.58%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.58%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:50
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 23:49
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 22:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 23:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 21:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 23:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -17.97%E -7.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -17.97%E -7.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -20.94%E -7.96%K -12.84%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-17 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -14.40%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.60%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 23:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-05-17 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-05-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-05-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-05-17 23:55