L’École des cotes

Deportes Concepción v Colo Colo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prévision 24.08%4.15cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.359%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%23.99%24.09%25.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.763.704.2028.99%26.62%27.03%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Colo Colo (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.13%2.08cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%48.20%48.06%51.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.911.911.9957.80%52.46%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.79%3.60cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.690%
Kelly +0.947%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.02%27.80%27.85%29.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.6934.72%30.26%30.30%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -6.56%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.02%EV +2.55%E +0.690%K +0.947%G +0.024%4.2%2026-04-05 19:24
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.73%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 19:25
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.73%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 19:10
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 19:14
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.04%E -4.78%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.74%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:10
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.74%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:09
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 19:10
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.92%EV +0.909%E +0.217%K +0.285%G +0.003%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -4.23%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV -7.46%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:10
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -1.26%E -0.307%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 19:09
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -14.82%E -8.37%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 19:10
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 19:09
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 19:09
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -16.91%E -4.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.45%E -6.22%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 19:14
Marathon Bet3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -5.11%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 19:10
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 19:10
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 19:10
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 19:19
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 19:04
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.76%EV -14.34%E -8.05%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-05 19:15
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 19:09
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 19:24
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 19:19
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 19:24
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 19:10
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -16.74%E -9.68%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -19.96%E -6.93%K -10.62%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-05 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-05 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-05 19:05