La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Deportes Concepción v Colo Colo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Predicción 24.08%4.15momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.359%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%23.99%24.09%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.763.704.2028.99%26.62%27.03%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colo Colo (Visitante)
Predicción 48.13%2.08momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.38%48.20%48.06%51.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.911.911.9957.80%52.46%52.36%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.690%
Kelly +0.947%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.02%27.80%27.85%29.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.6934.72%30.26%30.30%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -6.56%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.02%EV +2.55%E +0.690%K +0.947%G +0.024% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 19:24 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.73%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.73%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.10%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.04%E -4.78%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.74%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.74%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| DraftKings | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.92%EV +0.909%E +0.217%K +0.285%G +0.003% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -4.23%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV -7.46%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -1.26%E -0.307%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV +1.15%E +0.274%K +0.359%G +0.004% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -14.82%E -8.37%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -16.91%E -4.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.45%E -6.22%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -5.11%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.69%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -15.71%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.76%EV -14.34%E -8.05%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 19:24 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -13.30%E -3.69%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -16.74%E -9.68%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -19.96%E -6.93%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |