Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.69
assuming max odds 5.80
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 56.45%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 18.20%; Draw: 25.35%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.64%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV +5.57%E +0.960%K +1.16%G +0.065% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.09%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.92%EV +3.20%E +0.565%K +0.686%G +0.022% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.05%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +1.93%E +0.344%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.05%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +1.93%E +0.344%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.05%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +1.93%E +0.344%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.05%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +1.93%E +0.344%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.05%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +1.93%E +0.344%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +0.107%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -14.20%E -9.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV +0.107%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.46%EV -0.075%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -3.53%E -0.667%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.44%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -4.44%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -10.01%E -2.82%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -13.07%E -8.49%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -5.35%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -13.07%E -8.49%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -5.35%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.17%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.47%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.17%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.47%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -8.08%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.94%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -4.94%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 21:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.94%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.81%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.35%E -4.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.35%E -4.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.35%E -4.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -12.50%E -8.07%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -5.17%E -3.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -11.72%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.81%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.67%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.47%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -12.50%E -8.07%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.54%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -10.81%E -6.84%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -14.45%E -3.08%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.12%E -5.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.86% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61% | 1.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |