The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Coquimbo Unido v Universidad Católica (CHI)

2026-08-26 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.69%40.50%40.73%41.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.222.4046.51%44.84%45.05%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)

Prediction 32.11%3.11fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.70%32.11%32.16%32.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.852.9538.46%35.77%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV -6.88%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%27.39%27.11%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.4032.26%30.35%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 40.50%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 32.11%; Draw: 27.39%. For Coquimbo Unido (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -2.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -6.88%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 02:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.88%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 02:28
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.88%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 02:24
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.88%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 02:24
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.83%EV -10.08%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.70%EV -8.17%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 02:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.89%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.09%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.62%E -2.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 02:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -10.89%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -14.91%E -5.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 02:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.31%E -4.93%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-16 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.95%EV -16.52%E -6.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-16 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 02:40

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.