The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Coquimbo Unido v Union La Calera

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 22:01 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Union La Calera

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 55.10%1.81fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.83%55.11%54.85%57.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.671.671.7666.23%59.77%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union La Calera (Visit)

Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV -0.230%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.23%19.88%20.10%21.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.564.505.0024.39%21.95%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.754%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.01%25.05%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.603.9229.85%27.51%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 55.10%; Union La Calera (Visit): 19.95%; Draw: 24.95%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.230%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.95%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.46%EV -7.41%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:40
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:30
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.91%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.43%EV -1.23%E -0.248%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.39%EV -1.23%E -0.248%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.48%EV -2.20%E -0.562%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 21:49
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -15.20%E -3.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.52%EV -6.89%E -4.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.45%EV -9.69%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:49
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -14.20%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 21:50
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -0.230%E -0.046%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 21:50
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -0.230%E -0.046%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 21:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.19%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -16.19%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -15.18%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -16.19%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -15.18%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.54%E -5.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 21:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 21:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 19.50%EV -6.81%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -10.19%E -6.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -4.22%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.19%E -6.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.74%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.19%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 21:38
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.74%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 21:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.32%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -18.19%E -4.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-30 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -14.60%E -9.42%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -2.22%E -0.454%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 55.24%EV -16.80%E -11.13%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.90%EV -16.42%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-30 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.1%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.1%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.1%2026-10-30 21:50
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-10-30 21:50
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-10-30 21:50

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