The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Coquimbo Unido v Union La Calera

2026-10-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 49.54%2.02fair odd
EV -6.87%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -7.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.46%49.54%49.54%49.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.881.8855.87%54.09%53.19%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union La Calera (Visit)

Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%23.29%23.29%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.934.004.0026.32%25.44%25.00%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -6.26%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.17%27.17%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.383.453.4530.77%29.57%28.99%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 49.54%; Union La Calera (Visit): 23.29%; Draw: 27.17%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -6.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.65%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.65%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.65%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.65%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.65%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -10.33%E -5.71%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -11.33%E -6.33%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -11.33%E -6.33%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.