Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v O'Higgins

Kickoff: 2026-06-15 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 50.83%1.97fair odd
EV +0.641%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.654%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%50.64%51.46%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.851.861.9861.73%54.00%53.76%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.09%22.69%22.09%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.674.5029.41%26.03%27.21%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%26.67%26.45%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.7133.33%29.74%29.85%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 50.83%; O'Higgins (Visit): 22.62%; Draw: 26.55%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -16.13%E -9.78%K -24.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +1.81%E +0.402%K +0.517%G +0.009%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-05 14:29
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.31%EV -10.03%E -5.67%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV +0.453%E +0.102%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.43%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -11.05%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -1.58%E -0.364%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.39%EV -10.03%E -5.67%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -2.04%E -0.470%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.71%E -0.631%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 07:00
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.49%E -4.12%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -3.85%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 00:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.49%E -4.12%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -3.85%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 00:49
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 22:17
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.40%EV -15.62%E -9.41%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -10.63%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -9.74%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-05 14:29
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.03%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.74%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-01 09:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.95%EV -17.66%E -10.90%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.15%EV -14.03%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.90%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-05 14:30
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.718%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -15.16%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-03 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -4.95%E -2.65%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -16.29%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-01 08:58
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -16.29%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 08:59
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV +0.641%E +0.324%K +0.654%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV +0.132%E +0.067%K +0.136%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV +0.132%E +0.067%K +0.136%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:09
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV +0.132%E +0.067%K +0.136%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV +0.132%E +0.067%K +0.136%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:09
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -0.376%E -0.192%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -0.884%E -0.453%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-08 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-01 08:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.71%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-01 07:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.71%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-01 06:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.71%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-01 06:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -1.90%E -0.985%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -19.68%E -5.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -15.05%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-08 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -23.08%E -6.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.7%2026-06-01 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 47.95%EV -12.07%E -6.97%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.40%EV -23.08%E -6.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -20.36%E -6.79%K -10.18%G +0.000%20.5%2026-06-01 08:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.