The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Coquimbo Unido v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 0–1 Huachipato

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 41.27%2.42fair odd
EV +4.41%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.127%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.09%40.82%41.18%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.5348.78%44.38%44.44%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 31.02%3.22fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%31.75%30.89%37.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.872.883.1040.16%34.84%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +0.832%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%27.42%27.93%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.7232.26%30.41%30.30%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 41.27%; Huachipato (Visit): 31.02%; Draw: 27.71%. For Coquimbo Unido (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.09%EV +4.41%E +1.74%K +2.88%G +0.127%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.69%EV -22.76%E -9.14%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.22%EV +3.09%E +0.832%K +1.14%G +0.035%6.6%2026-09-14 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 02:22
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 02:22
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 02:22
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 02:22
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 02:22
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 02:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:46
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:46
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.70%E -5.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.70%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-15 02:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -7.97%E -3.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 02:22
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -7.97%E -3.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 02:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 02:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.22%EV -10.04%E -4.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.88%EV -4.46%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 02:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 02:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -15.40%E -7.51%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-15 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 39.29%1.03I 97.09%NM 39.29%1.89I 52.91%NM 21.41%147.1%2026-09-15 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.62%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.62%1.17I 85.47%NM 30.77%177.8%2026-09-15 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.62%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.62%1.17I 85.47%NM 30.77%177.8%2026-09-15 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.95%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.95%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.10%183.2%2026-09-15 02:31