The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Coquimbo Unido v Colo Colo

2026-10-11 18:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.05%35.75%35.62%36.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.7042.55%40.15%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colo Colo (Visit)

Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV -6.73%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%36.43%36.55%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.502.5642.55%40.46%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.82%27.83%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.303.4032.26%30.81%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 35.75%; Colo Colo (Visit): 36.43%; Draw: 27.82%. For Coquimbo Unido (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -3.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 07:34
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.98%EV -6.73%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 06:59
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 06:59
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 07:03
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-21 07:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-21 06:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-21 06:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-21 06:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -14.21%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.56%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-21 07:03
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -14.21%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-21 06:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -15.99%E -6.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -14.38%E -6.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-21 06:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 07:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 08:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-21 08:39