L’École des cotes

Coquimbo Unido v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 69.29%1.44cote équitable
EV -0.909%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.23%69.11%69.41%71.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.351.331.4380.00%74.29%75.19%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.70%9.35cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.409%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 9.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.80%10.82%10.66%13.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.168.259.6815.38%12.26%12.12%10.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.01%5.00cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.503%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.82%20.06%19.93%22.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.504.504.9026.67%22.24%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.49%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.68I 10.33%NM 9.90%EV +3.55%E +0.367%K +0.409%G +0.015%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.60%EV -2.16%E -0.442%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:20
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.63%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:09
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +1.63%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:03
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV +0.556%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.21%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.86%EV +0.556%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.00%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -1.05%E -0.113%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 20:10
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.14%EV -12.00%E -9.45%K -44.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.25%EV -3.68%E -2.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.93I 11.20%NM 10.62%EV -4.47%E -0.501%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.13%EV -10.16%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:14
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.90%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.90%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.45%E -4.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 20:10
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.45%E -4.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 20:10
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -7.15%E -5.33%K -21.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.81%EV -8.00%E -0.930%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:14
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.42%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -8.00%E -0.930%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:00
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 20:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -10.61%E -8.22%K -36.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 20:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.05%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -11.75%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:15
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.17%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.91%EV -11.75%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 20:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.22%E -7.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 20:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 20:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.10%EV -12.69%E -10.07%K -48.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.02%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-03 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.13%EV -13.38%E -10.71%K -53.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.49%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.38%EV -24.97%E -6.66%K -9.08%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.67%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -17.09%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:03
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.45%EV -11.30%E -8.83%K -40.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.08%EV -22.44%E -3.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-03 20:15
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:20
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.74%EV -2.29%E -1.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -2.99%E -2.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -30.47%E -4.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -17.97%E -4.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%0.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%0.3%2026-04-03 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.47%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%2.1%2026-04-03 20:20