La escuela de los momios

Coquimbo Unido v Cobresal

Inicio: 2026-04-03 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Predicción 69.29%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.909%
Ventaja -0.636%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.23%69.11%69.41%71.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.351.331.4380.00%74.29%75.19%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cobresal (Visitante)

Predicción 10.70%9.35momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +0.367%
Kelly +0.409%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.80%10.82%10.66%13.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.168.259.6815.38%12.26%12.12%10.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.01%5.00momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.503%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.82%20.06%19.93%22.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.504.504.9026.67%22.24%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.49%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.68I 10.33%NM 9.90%EV +3.55%E +0.367%K +0.409%G +0.015%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.60%EV -2.16%E -0.442%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:20
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.63%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:09
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +1.63%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:03
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.91%EV +0.556%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.21%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.86%EV +0.556%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.00%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -1.05%E -0.113%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 20:10
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.14%EV -12.00%E -9.45%K -44.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -3.72%E -0.414%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.25%EV -3.68%E -2.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.93I 11.20%NM 10.62%EV -4.47%E -0.501%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.13%EV -10.16%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:14
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.90%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -4.37%E -3.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.90%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.45%E -4.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 20:10
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.45%E -4.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -5.86%E -0.666%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 20:10
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -7.15%E -5.33%K -21.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.81%EV -8.00%E -0.930%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:14
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.42%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -8.00%E -0.930%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:00
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 20:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -10.61%E -8.22%K -36.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -9.07%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 20:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.05%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -11.75%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:15
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.17%EV -8.53%E -6.46%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.91%EV -11.75%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 20:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.22%E -7.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 20:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 20:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.92%E -7.63%K -33.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.10%EV -12.69%E -10.07%K -48.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.02%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-03 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.13%EV -13.38%E -10.71%K -53.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.49%EV -14.42%E -1.80%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.38%EV -24.97%E -6.66%K -9.08%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.67%EV -5.76%E -4.23%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -17.09%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:03
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.84%E -5.89%K -23.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -19.77%E -2.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.45%EV -11.30%E -8.83%K -40.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.08%EV -22.44%E -3.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-03 20:15
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:20
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -0.909%E -0.636%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.97%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.74%EV -2.29%E -1.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -27.79%E -4.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -2.99%E -2.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -30.47%E -4.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -17.97%E -4.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%0.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%0.3%2026-04-03 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.47%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%2.1%2026-04-03 20:20