The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Colo Colo v Universidad de Concepción

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 22:01 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 6–1 Universidad de Concepción

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 69.34%1.44fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -7.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.41%69.18%69.32%71.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.30%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 12.69%7.88fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.601%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 8.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.48%12.87%12.69%15.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.807.087.008.2217.24%14.12%14.29%12.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.96%5.57fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.473%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.84%17.95%17.98%19.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.005.005.6922.22%20.00%20.00%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 69.34%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 12.69%; Draw: 17.96%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.88. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.50%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.66%EV +4.34%E +0.528%K +0.601%G +0.026%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.84%EV +2.22%E +0.390%K +0.473%G +0.011%4.4%2026-10-30 21:50
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.55%E +0.193%K +0.221%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.38%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.55%E +0.193%K +0.221%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.38%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.55%E +0.193%K +0.221%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.38%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.55%E +0.193%K +0.221%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.38%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.55%E +0.193%K +0.221%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.38%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.63%EV -13.32%E -10.66%K -53.29%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.48%EV -0.992%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.89%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.13%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV -1.63%E -0.210%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -1.19%E -0.217%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -1.19%E -0.217%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 21:50
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.19%E -0.217%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:35
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.68%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 21:38
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.68%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 21:38
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -2.99%E -0.554%K -0.679%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.18%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -9.16%E -6.99%K -29.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:50
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.34%EV -9.16%E -6.99%K -29.56%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.13%EV -4.93%E -0.658%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -11.97%E -2.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 21:50
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.13%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.49%EV -5.82%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.38%EV -9.46%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 21:05
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.31%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.73%EV -7.34%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -11.97%E -2.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -7.34%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.60%EV -7.34%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.22%EV -9.28%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 21:49
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.79%E -0.903%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.18%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 21:49
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.68%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:50
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -11.97%E -2.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.55%E -8.18%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.18%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.55%E -8.18%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.18%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:20
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -10.55%E -8.18%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.67%E -3.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -10.55%E -8.18%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.67%E -3.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.36%E -3.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -14.32%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 21:29
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.97%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -14.32%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -12.87%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 21:35
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.86%E -7.58%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -17.49%E -2.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 20:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -20.67%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.58%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -20.67%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -10.18%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.16%E -4.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.16%E -4.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 21:30
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.16%E -4.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.16%E -4.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.67%E -3.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 67.31%EV -14.02%E -11.30%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.15%EV -25.11%E -4.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.55%EV -19.16%E -4.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-30 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.72%EV -9.16%E -6.99%K -29.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.07%EV -26.38%E -4.55%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.77%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-30 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.76%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91%0.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.76%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91%0.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-10-30 21:50
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-10-30 21:50
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.05%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.73%1.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-10-30 21:50

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.