Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.78
assuming max odds 4.80
assuming max odds 4.08
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cobresal (Local): 55.14%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 21.00%; Draw: 23.85%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.807%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.47%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.807%E +0.168%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV -2.68%E -0.656%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -13.42%E -8.55%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -1.29%E -0.275%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.03%EV -2.34%E -0.504%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.34%E -0.504%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.39%E -0.738%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.02%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.71%EV -4.02%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -9.56%E -5.83%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.93%EV -10.67%E -6.58%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.22%EV -5.91%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -2.95%E -1.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -7.59%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.59%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -8.46%E -5.10%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.59%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.16%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 17:37 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.59%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.67%E -6.58%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -10.67%E -6.58%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.67%E -6.58%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-10 17:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.46%E -5.10%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.56%E -5.83%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -8.16%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.75%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -18.09%E -4.64%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -16.51%E -4.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -19.14%E -4.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.13%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -19.14%E -4.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.13%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.71%EV -12.87%E -8.15%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.04%EV -19.14%E -4.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.25%EV -16.51%E -4.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98%EV -10.67%E -6.58%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -20.19%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-10 17:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.52% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 2.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |