StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cobresal v Palestino

Matchstart: 2026-08-28 22:29 UTC

Slutresultat: Cobresal 2–0 Palestino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cobresal (Hemma)

Prognos 35.60%2.81rättvist odds
EV +6.10%
Fördel +2.05%
Kelly +3.08%
Tillväxt +0.188%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.23%35.54%35.59%36.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.592.602.9841.67%38.68%38.46%33.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Palestino (Borta)

Prognos 38.17%2.62rättvist odds
EV -2.67%
Fördel -1.05%
Kelly -1.72%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.54%38.16%38.23%40.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.412.412.5544.44%41.44%41.49%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.23%3.81rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -0.438%
Kelly -0.597%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.65%26.30%26.18%27.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.463.453.7530.77%28.94%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cobresal (Hemma): 35.60%; Palestino (Borta): 38.17%; Oavgjort: 26.23%. För Cobresal (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.81. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.98, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.23%EV +6.10%E +2.05%K +3.08%G +0.188%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.02%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -9.25%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 22:20
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -2.09%E -0.761%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -14.12%E -6.28%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.47%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 22:25
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.65%EV -4.20%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 22:05
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.61%EV -4.94%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.34%EV -5.34%E -2.15%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 21:50
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 21:50
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%EV -8.78%E -3.67%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 22:10
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 22:25
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 21:49
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 22:00
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 22:14
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 21:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 21:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.54%E -4.03%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.54%E -4.03%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -8.86%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.50%EV -5.72%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -7.68%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 21:51
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.12%E -6.28%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 22:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 21:51
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 21:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 22:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.71%E -4.72%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-28 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -7.25%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-28 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -7.25%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-28 19:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-28 21:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-28 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-28 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-28 22:15
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-08-28 22:25
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.47%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%4.0%2026-08-28 22:05