L’École des cotes

Cobresal v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Score final : Cobresal 2–3 O'Higgins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Prévision 34.07%2.94cote équitable
EV -0.179%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.99%34.11%34.08%35.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.9340.00%36.99%37.04%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.71%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.99%38.74%38.67%41.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.352.5246.51%42.58%42.55%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.556%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.88%27.15%27.25%29.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.313.303.6035.71%30.20%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -0.179%E -0.061%K -0.093%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.90%EV -8.26%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 19:29
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.06%EV -2.45%E -0.973%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.63%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.90%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.25%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.54%E -0.711%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -14.25%E -4.52%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.84%E -6.75%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 19:30
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.33%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.33%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 19:29
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:20
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:29
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:29
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:29
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -16.78%E -7.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.40%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.40%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 19:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:29
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.49%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.13%EV -8.26%E -3.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 19:31
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -13.13%E -5.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 19:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -23.78%E -8.49%K -13.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.63%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31%3.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%10.0%2026-04-19 19:30