La escuela de los momios

Cobresal v O'Higgins

Inicio: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Final: Cobresal 2–3 O'Higgins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Predicción 34.07%2.94momio equitativo
EV -0.179%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.093%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.99%34.11%34.08%35.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.9340.00%36.99%37.04%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Predicción 38.71%2.58momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.99%38.74%38.67%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.352.5246.51%42.58%42.55%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -0.769%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.88%27.15%27.25%29.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.313.303.6035.71%30.20%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -0.179%E -0.061%K -0.093%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.90%EV -8.26%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 19:29
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.06%EV -2.45%E -0.973%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.63%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -1.88%E -0.654%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.90%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.25%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.54%E -0.711%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -14.25%E -4.52%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.84%E -6.75%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 19:30
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -6.65%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.33%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.33%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 19:29
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:20
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:29
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 19:29
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.01%E -2.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:29
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -16.78%E -7.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.40%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.40%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 19:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:29
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.49%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.13%EV -8.26%E -3.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 19:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.42%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 19:31
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -13.13%E -5.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 19:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -14.83%E -5.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -12.90%E -5.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -23.78%E -8.49%K -13.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.63%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31%3.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%10.0%2026-04-19 19:30