La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cobresal v Ñublense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cobresal (Local)
Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV +0.566%
Ventaja +0.200%
Kelly +0.309%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.42%35.54%36.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.8341.67%38.29%38.39%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ñublense (Visitante)
Predicción 36.31%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.81%36.40%36.31%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.98%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.16%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.465%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%28.18%28.15%29.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.243.253.5136.36%30.88%30.77%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.90%EV +0.566%E +0.200%K +0.309%G +0.002% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.53%EV -9.60%E -3.85%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -2.01%E -0.578%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| GTbets | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.60%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.46%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.70%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -3.14%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 21:57 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.68%E -6.25%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -13.59%E -5.71%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 21:58 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -7.25%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -1.97%E -0.730%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -1.97%E -0.730%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 21:56 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 21:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.94%E -5.28%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -14.71%E -6.13%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -22.57%E -8.21%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-29 22:00 |