مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cobresal v Ñublense

البداية: 2026-05-29 22:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cobresal 0–1 Ñublense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cobresal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.54%2.81السعر العادل
EV +0.566%
الأفضلية +0.200%
Kelly +0.309%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.41%35.42%35.54%36.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.612.602.8341.67%38.29%38.39%35.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ñublense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.31%2.75السعر العادل
EV -1.97%
الأفضلية -0.730%
Kelly -1.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.81%36.40%36.31%38.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.98%40.00%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.16%3.55السعر العادل
EV -1.17%
الأفضلية -0.333%
Kelly -0.465%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.17%28.18%28.15%29.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.243.253.5136.36%30.88%30.77%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.90%EV +0.566%E +0.200%K +0.309%G +0.002%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.53%EV -9.60%E -3.85%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -2.01%E -0.578%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 21:59
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.46%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 21:59
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 22:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.28%E -0.828%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -11.77%E -4.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.70%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -3.14%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 21:57
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 21:59
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 22:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.05%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.68%E -6.25%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 22:00
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 21:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 21:59
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 21:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -5.83%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -13.59%E -5.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 22:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 21:59
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 21:58
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 21:59
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-29 21:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-29 21:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-29 21:59
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -7.25%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 21:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 21:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 22:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 21:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 21:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -1.97%E -0.730%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 22:00
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -1.97%E -0.730%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 22:00
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -9.03%E -3.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 21:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 21:56
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 22:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 21:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 21:58
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.38%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 21:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 21:59
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 22:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-29 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-29 21:59
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-29 21:59
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-29 21:59
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.16%E -4.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-29 21:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.94%E -5.28%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-29 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -14.71%E -6.13%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -22.57%E -8.21%K -12.90%G +0.000%21.5%2026-05-29 21:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 22:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 22:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-29 22:00
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.1%2026-05-29 22:00