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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Cobresal v Deportes Concepción

开赛时间： 2026-08-16 19:01 UTC

最终结果： Cobresal 0–2 Deportes Concepción

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cobresal (主队)

预测 40.70%2.46公平赔率
EV +0.540%
优势 +0.219%
Kelly +0.367%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布
38.66%40.66%40.56%43.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.272.292.4748.78%43.98%43.67%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Deportes Concepción (客队)

预测 31.36%3.19公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.901%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.65%31.51%31.35%33.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.882.903.1037.74%34.75%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.94%3.58公平赔率
EV -4.17%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.43

博彩公司预测分布
25.67%27.83%28.09%28.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.263.303.4332.26%30.68%30.30%29.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cobresal (主队)：40.70%；Deportes Concepción (客队)：31.36%；平局：27.94%。 对于“Cobresal (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.47，对应+0.540%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.84%EV +0.540%E +0.219%K +0.367%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:59
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.79%E -0.901%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -5.57%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -5.57%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.57%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.57%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:00
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:53
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -15.34%E -5.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.46%EV -6.79%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.36%E -2.55%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -7.19%E -3.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -16.90%E -6.38%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -7.19%E -3.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -16.90%E -6.38%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 17:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.79%E -0.901%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.01%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.01%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -16.56%E -8.08%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -16.56%E -8.08%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-16 16:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-16 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-16 19:00