A Escola das Odds

Audax Italiano v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Início: 2026-04-11 21:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Previsão 27.80%3.60odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -0.517%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.83%27.84%27.73%29.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.253.5533.33%30.65%30.77%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)

Previsão 44.25%2.26odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -3.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.44%44.15%44.26%45.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.062.1752.36%48.44%48.54%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.96%3.58odd justa
EV +0.359%
Vantagem +0.100%
Kelly +0.138%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.70%28.01%28.02%29.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.223.203.5934.72%31.03%31.25%27.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.70%EV +0.359%E +0.100%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.20%EV -1.60%E -0.451%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.21%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 21:29
GTbets3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.37%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.21%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -1.32%E -0.372%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -7.52%E -3.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:28
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.95%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:28
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:30
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:29
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 21:29
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:29
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:29
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 21:29
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -7.52%E -3.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 21:30
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:30
Marathon Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.31%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 21:29
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 21:29
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:29
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 21:29
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 21:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 21:25
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:28
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:29
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 21:29
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 21:30
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 21:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.80%EV -14.16%E -7.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 21:28
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.48%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.94%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.48%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.94%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 21:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 21:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 21:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 21:29
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 21:29
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 21:30
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.39%E -6.26%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.72%E -7.03%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 21:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -12.44%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.60%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -16.13%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -15.49%E -8.11%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.49%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 21:30
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-04-11 21:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 55.66%2.10I 47.62%NM 27.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 16.78%72.8%2026-04-11 21:30