L’École des cotes

Audax Italiano v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.83%27.84%27.73%29.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.253.5533.33%30.65%30.77%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.25%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.44%44.15%44.26%45.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.062.1752.36%48.44%48.54%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.96%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.359%
Avantage +0.100%
Kelly +0.138%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.70%28.01%28.02%29.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.223.203.5934.72%31.03%31.25%27.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.70%EV +0.359%E +0.100%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.20%EV -1.60%E -0.451%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.21%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 21:29
GTbets3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.37%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.21%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -1.32%E -0.372%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -7.52%E -3.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:28
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.95%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:28
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:30
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:29
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 21:29
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:29
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.35%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:29
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 21:29
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -7.52%E -3.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 21:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 21:30
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:30
Marathon Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.31%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 21:29
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 21:29
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:29
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.15%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 21:29
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 21:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 21:25
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:28
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:29
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 21:29
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 21:30
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 21:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.80%EV -14.16%E -7.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 21:28
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.48%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.94%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.48%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.94%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 21:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 21:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 21:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 21:29
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 21:29
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 21:30
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.39%E -6.26%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.72%E -7.03%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 21:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -12.44%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.60%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -16.13%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -15.49%E -8.11%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.49%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-11 21:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 21:30
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-04-11 21:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-04-11 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 55.66%2.10I 47.62%NM 27.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 16.78%72.8%2026-04-11 21:30