Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano v O'Higgins

2026-09-13 23:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 38.32%2.61fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.18%38.57%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.4944.44%42.26%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.79%33.43%33.16%34.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.9040.00%37.31%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.39%28.27%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.3533.33%31.28%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Audax Italiano (Local): 38.32%; O'Higgins (Visit): 33.42%; Draw: 28.27%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -3.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 19:30
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -9.11%E -3.35%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -7.86%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -11.87%E -5.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -13.78%E -6.13%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.12%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -13.78%E -6.13%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 37.93%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%16.6%2026-09-06 18:40