Language:English
Sport Recife v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 37.38%2.68fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%37.43%37.35%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.452.5543.48%40.55%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 32.45%3.08fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.42%32.48%32.47%33.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.812.803.0237.04%35.54%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%30.09%30.18%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.033.003.2534.72%32.99%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport Recife (Local): 37.38%; Juventude (Visit): 32.45%; Draw: 30.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.05%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -8.50%E -3.01%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.05%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -8.50%E -3.01%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.05%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -8.50%E -3.01%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -5.79%E -2.30%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -2.01%E -0.664%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -1.95%E -0.601%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.90%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -12.39%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.29%E -2.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.45%EV -10.44%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 19:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -7.29%E -2.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.41%EV -8.04%E -3.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.52%EV -8.17%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.07%EV -7.68%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -5.90%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.90%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.55%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 19:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.52%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -7.52%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -7.52%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.74%EV -9.16%E -3.77%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -1.95%E -0.601%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.77%E -3.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.39%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.03%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.03%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 19:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.90%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.02%E -6.10%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -9.14%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |