Language:English
Sport Recife v Fortaleza
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%41.71%41.71%41.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.232.2347.62%45.69%44.84%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortaleza (Visit)
Prediction 30.31%3.30fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.03%30.31%30.31%30.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.103.1034.48%32.99%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -7.67%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%27.98%27.98%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.243.303.3032.26%30.84%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sport Recife (Local): 41.71%; Fortaleza (Visit): 30.31%; Draw: 27.98%. For Fortaleza (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -6.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.59%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.59%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.58%EV -10.74%E -5.02%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.59%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.59%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.